Prof.Allan J.Lichtman Photo: The Washington Post
Washington ,November 12 (NIA): Allan J. Lichtman, Professor of Political History at the American University in Washington DC, who correctly predicted the election of Donald Trump as President of the United States in September has made another prediction: that he will be impeached by the Congress – his own Republican-dominated Congress, either on grounds of national security or for lining his pocket.
“I’m going to make another prediction,” Lichtman told The Washington Post on Friday: “This one is not based on a system; it’s just my gut. They don’t want Trump as president, because they can’t control him. He’s unpredictable. They’d love to have Pence — an absolutely down-the-line, conservative, controllable Republican. And I’m quite certain Trump will give someone grounds for impeachment, either by doing something that endangers national security or because it helps his pocketbook.”
Trump would eventually be impeached by a Republican Congress that would prefer a President Mike Pence — someone whom establishment Republicans know and trust, Lichtman said.
So while Republican voters clearly came home before November. 8 — network exit polls show 90 percent of GOP voters cast ballots for Trump — it’s less clear that the party leadership is on board ,he pointed out.
Lichtman actually isn’t the only person to predict a Trump impeachment. This New York Times’s David Brooks suggested that a Trump impeachment or resignation was “probably” in the cards sometime within the next year.
Few prognosticators predicted a Donald Trump victory ahead of November 8. Polls showed Hillary Clinton comfortably ahead, and much of America (chiefly the media) failed to anticipate the wave of pro-Trump support that propelled him to victory.
But Lichtman insisted that Trump was lined up for a win — based on the idea that elections are “primarily a reflection on the performance of the party in power.”
Allan Jay Lichtman (born in 1947) was named by the American University as the Distinguished Professor of History in 2011, and as Outstanding Scholar/Teacher for 1992-93, the highest faculty award at that school.
He is the author of numerous books and has published over 100 articles. A model he created with statistician Jack Moshman has predicted the winners of almost all recent U.S. presidential elections, including Trumps win.